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Clearer Stats Through Better Design

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Getting to the Top 2% of Metaculus x Bridgewater Forecasters

David A. Quinn · 31 Mar 2026

What You Expect to Expect

David A. Quinn · 25 Feb 2026

Conservatism Is Not A Forecasting Step

David A. Quinn · 18 Jan 2026

Contributors

David A. Quinn

Hi, I'm David, an actuary with over a decade of consulting experience. I craft statistical models in Excel and R using design principles to make statistics more meaningful to all audiences.

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